Florida International vs Troy 10/20/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida International winning 45% of simulations, and Troy 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida International commits fewer turnovers in 55% of simulations and they go on to win 53% when they take care of the ball. Troy wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Kedrick Rhodes is averaging 75 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Corey Robinson is averaging 304 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TROY -6

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